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FinTrend Article Calendar
Monthly wheel view of Monday outlooks, Wednesday momentum checks, Friday recaps, and Sunday macro notes. Tap through months to find any note fast.
May 2026
Week of May 18
Warsh inherits a 3-yr CPI high, oil at $110, and a ceasefire in name only. NVIDIA earnings, FOMC minutes, and retail giants all land this week.
Wednesday
May 20
Momentum
Coming Wednesday
Friday
May 22
Friday Recap
Coming Friday
Sunday
May 24
Sunday Macro
Coming Sunday
Week of May 11
CPI Tuesday, Warsh confirmation vote, Powell term expires Friday. Iran MOU still unsigned. Three binary events in five sessions; VIX at 17 is not pricing it.
Kevin Warsh is confirmed 54–45 into one of the most hostile monetary environments in a generation.
Warsh confirmed 54–45. CPI 3.8%. Dow kissed 50,000. Beijing summit: no Hormuz deal, oil surged to $109, 10-yr yield worst weekly rout in a year.
Trump's patience with Iran is running out. Warsh hasn't declared his. Rate-hike odds at 45%. The next 30 days — Walmart earnings, May CPI, first FOMC — will define the second half.
Week of May 4
Iranian drones hit Fujairah; Brent $114, WTI $106. Powell's era ends May 15. Warsh confirmation imminent. NFP Friday the week's binary. Breadth at dotcom-era lows.
Axios reports U.S.–Iran near MOU deal; Brent −7.7% to $101; AMD +18.6% on EPS beat; S&P record 7,365; Disney +5%; Trump calls deal "big assumption."
S&P +2.3% WTD to 7,399; Nasdaq +4.5% WTD — sixth straight winning week. April NFP +115K vs. +60K est. Brent ~$100. Iran MOU unsigned heading into weekend.
U.S.–Iran MOU talks collapse over weekend; Brent back to $103. CPI Tuesday, Warsh vote, Powell expiry Friday. The six-week rally meets its first real test.
April 2026
Week of Apr 27
FOMC Wed + GDP/PCE Thu + MSFT/GOOGL/META/AMZN/AAPL earnings. Iran Hormuz proposal via Pakistan. WTI $95.66. No slow days.
Fed holds 3.50–3.75% in Powell's likely final meeting; WTI tops $103; Brent $115 intraday; Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft all report AH.
Q1 GDP 2.0% miss; PCE QoQ 4.5% shock; FOMC splits 8-4 in Powell's final presser; Alphabet +63% Cloud; S&P closes April up 8.5%, best month since 2020.
FOMC splits 8-4 — most divided since 1992. PCE 3.5% near three-year high. Warsh inherits a fractured committee, a closed Strait, and Powell still voting at the table.
Week of Apr 20
Iran re-shuts Strait overnight; WTI +7.8%; Warsh hearing Tue 10am ET; Tesla, UNH & Boeing all report; Core PCE Friday.
Trump extends ceasefire; Iran seizes two ships anyway; S&P ATH 7,137; Tesla EPS beat $0.41; WTI +3% to $92.96.
S&P 7,165 ATH; Nasdaq 24,836 ATH; WTI +13% wk to $94.40; ServiceNow −13% (named Hormuz); Witkoff to Islamabad Saturday.
Islamabad collapses — Araghchi leaves before Witkoff lands; WTI $94.40; FOMC + Q1 GDP + Core PCE all land Thursday in a 4-hour window.
Week of Apr 13
Islamabad talks collapse after 21 hrs; U.S. naval blockade begins 10am ET; WTI +7% to $103; Goldman Q1 beats; CPI & bank earnings all week.
Iran declares Strait "completely open"; WTI −11.4% to $83.85 (biggest drop since war began); S&P 7,126 record, +4.5% wk; Nasdaq +6.8% wk; 10-yr 4.26%; VIX 17.48.
S&P 7,126 ATH vs. Strait re-closed Sunday; Warsh hearing Tue; packed earnings week ahead; PCE Friday is the structural test.
Week of Apr 6
8pm ET deadline; S&P 6,583; WTI $111; one session to price the binary; PCE Apr 9, CPI Apr 10.
Ceasefire confirmed; WTI −16% to ~$95; S&P futures +2.7%; 172M bbl tanker backlog; Delta earnings; PCE Thu; banks Fri.
CPI 3.8% in-line; S&P 6,813; oil holds $98; Pakistan talks this weekend; JPM earnings next Friday is the real tell.
S&P +3.6% wk; WTI −16% Wed to $94; CPI 3.3% hottest since 2022; Fed on hold; Islamabad talks & bank earnings next week.
March 2026
Week of Mar 30
S&P at 7-month low; Dow in correction; April 6 Iran deadline 8 days out; Q1 ends Tuesday; payrolls Friday.
S&P at 7-month low; Brent $107; Hormuz at trickle; Fed on hold; April 6 binary window closing; March CPI the next pivot.
S&P −0.5% wk; WTI +11.4% Thursday to $111.54; Trump speech crashed then Iran/Oman rescued markets; Good Friday close; 8pm Tuesday deadline next.
36 hrs to 8pm deadline; WTI $111; Polymarket 47% up-open; F-15E shot down; Pakistan/Oman talks active; Goldman 30%, Moody’s 48.6% recession odds.
Week of Mar 23
Trump extends 48-hr ultimatum 5 days after "very good conversations"; oil off $114 highs near $113; S&P stabilizes near 6,500; PCE Friday is the data anchor.
Monday’s rally half-erased; Brent back above $101; 15-point U.S. framework to Tehran; IGV −23% YTD; PCE Friday is the week’s real event.
S&P 6,368 — 7-month low; Dow enters correction; Brent $110+; Israel hits Iran nuclear sites; PCE rescheduled to Apr 9; April 6 deadline looms.
Iran rejects U.S. 15-point framework, submits counter; Saudi air base hit again; two paths — ceasefire rally or Apr 6 escalation; April 9 PCE is secondary anchor.
Week of Mar 16
S&P at 2026 lows above 200-DMA; Nvidia GTC keynote; Dollar Tree earnings; VIX 27+; Wednesday FOMC is the only event that matters.
PPI +0.7% vs +0.3% est.; Fed holds 11-1; dot plot: 1 cut; Powell "not as much progress as hoped"; Dow −768 pts at lows; S&P breaks 200-DMA.
S&P 6,506 — 6-mo low; Brent $112.19 (+9% wk); Iraq force majeure; Kuwait refineries struck; Russell 2000 in correction; $24.78B equity fund outflows.
Trump threatens to obliterate Iranian power plants; Iran threatens Gulf mines; Nikkei −3.5%, Kospi −4.9%; IEA: worst energy crisis since 1970s.
Week of Mar 9
S&P futures −1.6%; WTI breaks $100; CPI Wednesday; stagflation trap tightens; cautious/defensive bias.
CPI 2.4% in-line; Oracle +14% on $553B backlog; IEA 400M barrel release; Nasdaq leads, Dow lags; stagflation lag risk intact.
S&P 6,632 — 2026 low; WTI $98.71; GDP revised to 0.7%; NFP −92K; VIX 27+; 1970s comparisons flood research notes; FOMC week ahead.
Powell’s dual-mandate bind; bond market voting stagflation; oil as master variable; FOMC dot plot scenarios; full week-ahead calendar.
Week of Mar 2
U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran; Brent +8%; defense bid; NFP Friday is the anchor event.
Midweek tape check; tariff escalation + jobs data reaction; sector rotation update.
WTI +28% on week; NFP −92K; stagflation trap tightens; defense & software lead.
Oil +12%; bad jobs print; CPI Wednesday; Oracle & Adobe earnings; cautious/selective bias.
February 2026
Week of Feb 23
Section 122 at 15% kicks in Tuesday; Nvidia Wednesday; SOTU Tuesday night; PPI Friday.
Nvidia Q4 earnings after close; S&P futures +0.14%; tariff narrative stabilizes post-SOTU.
PPI beats hard; Nvidia extends slide; S&P 500 posts worst February in 11 months.
Iran strike weekend; war premium into Jobs Week; ceasefire framework still in motion.
Week of Feb 16
Tech selling resumes; Fed minutes tomorrow; Nvidia Feb 25 is the line.
Fed minutes at 2pm ET; tech bids up on Meta-Nvidia deal; PCE Friday is the real test.
Supreme Court strikes IEEPA tariffs; GDP misses at 1.4%; Walmart K-shaped consumer; Blue Owl gates private credit fund.
SCOTUS killed IEEPA; Trump pivoted to Section 122 at 15%; GDP 1.4%; PCE hot; Nvidia Wednesday is the referendum.
Week of Feb 9
Kickoff note for the week.
Midweek tape & sector rotation.
CPI cools; front-end yields ease; equities rotate away from duration.
Week recap: rate-cut repricing, defensive leadership, gold up, oil heavy.
Week of Feb 1
Kickoff note for the week.
Midweek tape & sector rotation.
End-of-week equity & macro wrap.
Big-picture themes & positioning for next week.
January 2026
Week of Jan 26
Central bank + earnings collision: watch yields and guidance tone.
Rotation + earnings reactions: momentum turns more selective.
Earnings digestion week: rates as referee, leadership more selective.
Macro framing into early-February positioning.
Week of Jan 19
MLK Day closure: repricing risk when cash reopens; headlines + earnings.
Rotation + earnings reactions: momentum turns more selective.
Earnings digestion week: rates as referee, leadership more selective.
Macro framing into a Fed + peak earnings week: reactions, not predictions.
Week of Jan 12
First real test week: catalysts return and breadth becomes the tell.
Breadth as the lie detector; Beige Book as a sentiment check.
Choppy tape with rotation under the hood as earnings begin.
Macro + earnings overlap: watching the variables that move the tape.
Week of Jan 5
First full week of 2026: liquidity returns, structure matters.
Breadth vs. concentration check as January volume returns.
January reset: narrative meets schedule as catalysts return.
Week-ahead macro framing: earnings + inflation + policy expectations.
December 2025
Week of Dec 29
Year-end positioning into the first week of 2026.
Year-end momentum snapshot.
Big-picture themes & positioning for the week ahead.
Week of Dec 22
Holiday-shortened setup: liquidity, rates, year-end positioning.
Holiday tape momentum check.
Big-picture themes & positioning for next week.
Week of Dec 15
Kickoff note for the week.
Midweek tape & sector rotation.
End-of-week equity & macro wrap.
Sunday macro note & positioning for next week.
Week of Dec 8
Kickoff note for the week.
Midweek tape & sector rotation.
End-of-week equity & macro wrap.
Big-picture themes & positioning for next week.
Week of Dec 1
December seasonality, Fed messaging, and soft-landing odds.
Post-holiday follow-through and real-volume test of the rally.
End-of-week equity & macro wrap.
Big-picture themes & positioning for the week ahead.
November 2025
Week of Nov 24
Holiday-week setup: liquidity, seasonality, Fed uncertainty.
Post-earnings tape and pre-holiday flows.
Post-Thanksgiving recap: flows, sectors, and positioning.
Month-end macro wrap and positioning into December.
Week of Nov 16
Second Monday outlook in the series.
Midweek tape & sector rotation.
End-of-week equity & macro wrap.
Big-picture themes & positioning for the week ahead.
Week of Nov 10
Kickoff note for the week.
Midweek tape & sector rotation.
End-of-week equity & macro wrap.
Big-picture themes & positioning for next week.
This calendar is for reference and education only. Each note reflects views at the time of writing and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or instrument.