FinTrend Article Calendar

Dow closes above 52,000 for the first time as Alphabet joins the index. Supreme Court protects Fed independence in the Cook case. Iran stand-down holds; Thursday's jobs report arrives a day early.

Russell 2000 posts its best first half since 1991. Q3 opens with money rotating out of semiconductors into Dow blue chips. ADP misses. Warsh stays silent at Sintra.

Markets closed for Independence Day, but Thursday delivered a jobs-report miss, a Dow record, and the sharpest chip-stock unwind since April.

A weak jobs report tests the disinflation-summer thesis just as Iran's funeral week reopens the Strait of Hormuz risk premium and the Fed heads toward a split July decision.

Markets return from the holiday weekend into Iran's mourning period, a Fed committee that looks evenly divided going into July 28-29, and a chip sector trying to find a floor.

The June FOMC minutes show a committee far more divided than the unanimous headline suggested, while a Hormuz naval scare briefly spikes WTI to $74 before easing.

SPCX shed 16% Monday — its worst single session. South Korea's KOSPI cratered 9.99%. Micron reports Wednesday. Core PCE lands Thursday. Does the AI rally have fundamental footing or is it froth?

After Monday's brutal chip selloff and Tuesday's continued tech slide, Micron delivered a blowout beat-and-raise. Nasdaq futures surged 2.3% overnight. PCE and GDP land Thursday morning.

Core PCE 3.4% — above estimates, likely the cycle top. WTI below $70. GDP revised up to 2.1%. Tech weak, Russell outperformed. OpenAI reportedly delays IPO to 2027. Q3 will decide the rate path.

Oil below $70 for the first time since January. Core PCE at the cycle peak. GDP stronger than feared. The inflation arc from the Iran war is bending back — but NFP Thursday and June CPI in mid-July must confirm the thesis.

Warsh chairs his first FOMC this week. Iran peace framework signed overnight. SPCX enters week two with MSCI inclusion kicking in. The most consequential 72 hours for markets since the war began.

Unanimous hold. Hawkish dot plot — 9 of 18 see a 2026 hike. No forward guidance. Five task forces. Worst S&P performance on a new chair's first Fed day since 1994. Iran MOU formally signed Thursday.

Three trading days, one historic Fed meeting, one signed peace deal. SPCX hit ATH $225.64 Monday then shed 18% into week's end. S&P +0.9% on the week. Markets closed Friday for Juneteenth.

The stagflation arithmetic has shifted but not resolved. Warsh has drawn his line. Iran signed the paper. Micron reports Wednesday. Core PCE Thursday. SPCX down 27% from its all-time high.

May CPI Wednesday. SpaceX pricing Thursday, debut Friday. FOMC eight days away. Three catalysts that will set the tape's direction for the rest of the summer.

US and Iran exchange military strikes overnight. Oil heading toward $100. Nasdaq futures down 2%. May CPI drops this morning — the most consequential data release of the pre-FOMC window.

SpaceX closes at $161.11 on its Nasdaq debut — the largest IPO in history. May CPI 4.2% YoY. Iran deal draft text finalized. Oil falls toward $84 on peace hopes ahead of Warsh's first FOMC.

SpaceX went public Friday. Iran agreed to a ceasefire framework overnight. May CPI hit a 3-year high of 4.2%. Warsh walks into his first FOMC Tuesday carrying all of it — and none of it resolved.

Nine straight weekly wins entering June. Iran MOU unsigned — overnight US strikes complicate the picture. May NFP lands Friday. SpaceX roadshow in eight days.

Broadcom AI guidance miss sends chips down 14%. SpaceX locks in $135/share for the largest IPO in history. Oil back near $97 as Iran tensions refuse to die.

Nasdaq's worst day since April 2025. $1T wiped from semis in two sessions. May jobs report comes in at 172K vs 85K estimate — double consensus and extinguishing rate-cut hopes.

PCE 3.8%. NFP +172K. Oil near $98. Warsh walks into his first FOMC with the hardest data backdrop of the year. CPI Wednesday is the pivot point before June 17.

Markets closed — Memorial Day. Iran MOU unsigned. Oil dips below $100. PCE and jobs data arrive this week. Warsh's first full week as Chair begins Tuesday.

April PCE 3.8% — highest since May 2023. GDP revised to 1.6%. Dell surges 33% on record AI server quarter. Snowflake kills the SAASpocalypse narrative.

S&P locks in its ninth consecutive weekly gain — longest since 2023. Dow crosses 51K for the first time. Nasdaq up 8% in May. Iran 60-day MOU reported.

Iran MOU exists on paper — Trump hasn't signed it. June brings Warsh's first FOMC, SpaceX roadshow, NFP, and a streak that cannot go on forever.

Warsh inherits a 3-yr CPI high, oil at $110, and a ceasefire in name only. NVIDIA earnings, FOMC minutes, and retail giants all land this week.

NVIDIA prints $81.6B quarter and guides to $91B more. SpaceX files its S-1. Iran talks inch forward. Three storylines pulling the tape in different directions.

S&P posts its eighth consecutive weekly gain. Kevin Warsh sworn in at the White House. Dell surges 30%. Iran talks put oil below $100 for the first time since March.

Warsh swears in to the hardest inflation backdrop in a generation. Oil below $100 — but not from strength. SpaceX S-1 is a bet on something that doesn't exist yet.

CPI Tuesday, Warsh confirmation vote, Powell term expires Friday. Iran MOU still unsigned. Three binary events in five sessions; VIX at 17 is not pricing it.

Kevin Warsh is confirmed 54–45 into one of the most hostile monetary environments in a generation.

Warsh confirmed 54–45. CPI 3.8%. Dow kissed 50,000. Beijing summit: no Hormuz deal, oil surged to $109, 10-yr yield worst weekly rout in a year.

Trump's patience with Iran is running out. Warsh hasn't declared his. Rate-hike odds at 45%. The next 30 days — Walmart earnings, May CPI, first FOMC — will define the second half.

Iranian drones hit Fujairah; Brent $114, WTI $106. Powell's era ends May 15. Warsh confirmation imminent. NFP Friday the week's binary. Breadth at dotcom-era lows.

Axios reports U.S.–Iran near MOU deal; Brent −7.7% to $101; AMD +18.6% on EPS beat; S&P record 7,365; Disney +5%; Trump calls deal "big assumption."

S&P +2.3% WTD to 7,399; Nasdaq +4.5% WTD — sixth straight winning week. April NFP +115K vs. +60K est. Brent ~$100. Iran MOU unsigned heading into weekend.

U.S.–Iran MOU talks collapse over weekend; Brent back to $103. CPI Tuesday, Warsh vote, Powell expiry Friday. The six-week rally meets its first real test.

FOMC Wed + GDP/PCE Thu + MSFT/GOOGL/META/AMZN/AAPL earnings. Iran Hormuz proposal via Pakistan. WTI $95.66. No slow days.

Fed holds 3.50–3.75% in Powell's likely final meeting; WTI tops $103; Brent $115 intraday; Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft all report AH.

Q1 GDP 2.0% miss; PCE QoQ 4.5% shock; FOMC splits 8-4 in Powell's final presser; Alphabet +63% Cloud; S&P closes April up 8.5%, best month since 2020.

FOMC splits 8-4 — most divided since 1992. PCE 3.5% near three-year high. Warsh inherits a fractured committee, a closed Strait, and Powell still voting at the table.

Iran re-shuts Strait overnight; WTI +7.8%; Warsh hearing Tue 10am ET; Tesla, UNH & Boeing all report; Core PCE Friday.

Trump extends ceasefire; Iran seizes two ships anyway; S&P ATH 7,137; Tesla EPS beat $0.41; WTI +3% to $92.96.

S&P 7,165 ATH; Nasdaq 24,836 ATH; WTI +13% wk to $94.40; ServiceNow −13% (named Hormuz); Witkoff to Islamabad Saturday.

Islamabad collapses — Araghchi leaves before Witkoff lands; WTI $94.40; FOMC + Q1 GDP + Core PCE all land Thursday in a 4-hour window.

Islamabad talks collapse after 21 hrs; U.S. naval blockade begins 10am ET; WTI +7% to $103; Goldman Q1 beats; CPI & bank earnings all week.

Iran declares Strait "completely open"; WTI −11.4% to $83.85; S&P 7,126 record, +4.5% wk; Nasdaq +6.8% wk; 10-yr 4.26%; VIX 17.48.

S&P 7,126 ATH vs. Strait re-closed Sunday; Warsh hearing Tue; packed earnings week ahead; PCE Friday is the structural test.

8pm ET deadline; S&P 6,583; WTI $111; one session to price the binary; PCE Apr 9, CPI Apr 10.

Ceasefire confirmed; WTI −16% to ~$95; S&P futures +2.7%; 172M bbl tanker backlog; Delta earnings; PCE Thu; banks Fri.

CPI 3.8% in-line; S&P 6,813; oil holds $98; Pakistan talks this weekend; JPM earnings next Friday is the real tell.

S&P +3.6% wk; WTI −16% Wed to $94; CPI 3.3% hottest since 2022; Fed on hold; Islamabad talks & bank earnings next week.

S&P at 7-month low; Dow in correction; April 6 Iran deadline 8 days out; Q1 ends Tuesday; payrolls Friday.

S&P at 7-month low; Brent $107; Hormuz at trickle; Fed on hold; April 6 binary window closing; March CPI the next pivot.

S&P −0.5% wk; WTI +11.4% Thursday to $111.54; Trump speech crashed then Iran/Oman rescued markets; Good Friday close; 8pm Tuesday deadline next.

36 hrs to 8pm deadline; WTI $111; Polymarket 47% up-open; F-15E shot down; Pakistan/Oman talks active; Goldman 30%, Moody’s 48.6% recession odds.

Trump extends 48-hr ultimatum 5 days after "very good conversations"; oil off $114 highs near $113; S&P stabilizes near 6,500; PCE Friday is the data anchor.

Monday’s rally half-erased; Brent back above $101; 15-point U.S. framework to Tehran; IGV −23% YTD; PCE Friday is the week’s real event.

S&P 6,368 — 7-month low; Dow enters correction; Brent $110+; Israel hits Iran nuclear sites; PCE rescheduled to Apr 9; April 6 deadline looms.

Iran rejects U.S. 15-point framework, submits counter; Saudi air base hit again; two paths — ceasefire rally or Apr 6 escalation; April 9 PCE is secondary anchor.

S&P at 2026 lows above 200-DMA; Nvidia GTC keynote; Dollar Tree earnings; VIX 27+; Wednesday FOMC is the only event that matters.

PPI +0.7% vs +0.3% est.; Fed holds 11-1; dot plot: 1 cut; Powell "not as much progress as hoped"; Dow −768 pts at lows; S&P breaks 200-DMA.

S&P 6,506 — 6-mo low; Brent $112.19 (+9% wk); Iraq force majeure; Kuwait refineries struck; Russell 2000 in correction; $24.78B equity fund outflows.

Trump threatens to obliterate Iranian power plants; Iran threatens Gulf mines; Nikkei −3.5%, Kospi −4.9%; IEA: worst energy crisis since 1970s.

S&P futures −1.6%; WTI breaks $100; CPI Wednesday; stagflation trap tightens; cautious/defensive bias.

CPI 2.4% in-line; Oracle +14% on $553B backlog; IEA 400M barrel release; Nasdaq leads, Dow lags; stagflation lag risk intact.

S&P 6,632 — 2026 low; WTI $98.71; GDP revised to 0.7%; NFP −92K; VIX 27+; 1970s comparisons flood research notes; FOMC week ahead.

Powell’s dual-mandate bind; bond market voting stagflation; oil as master variable; FOMC dot plot scenarios; full week-ahead calendar.

U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran; Brent +8%; defense bid; NFP Friday is the anchor event.

Midweek tape check; tariff escalation + jobs data reaction; sector rotation update.

WTI +28% on week; NFP −92K; stagflation trap tightens; defense & software lead.

Oil +12%; bad jobs print; CPI Wednesday; Oracle & Adobe earnings; cautious/selective bias.

Section 122 at 15% kicks in Tuesday; Nvidia Wednesday; SOTU Tuesday night; PPI Friday.

Nvidia Q4 earnings after close; S&P futures +0.14%; tariff narrative stabilizes post-SOTU.

PPI beats hard; Nvidia extends slide; S&P 500 posts worst February in 11 months.

Iran strike weekend; war premium into Jobs Week; ceasefire framework still in motion.

Tech selling resumes; Fed minutes tomorrow; Nvidia Feb 25 is the line.

Fed minutes at 2pm ET; tech bids up on Meta-Nvidia deal; PCE Friday is the real test.

Supreme Court strikes IEEPA tariffs; GDP misses at 1.4%; Walmart K-shaped consumer; Blue Owl gates private credit fund.

SCOTUS killed IEEPA; Trump pivoted to Section 122 at 15%; GDP 1.4%; PCE hot; Nvidia Wednesday is the referendum.

Kickoff note for the week.

Midweek tape & sector rotation.

CPI cools; front-end yields ease; equities rotate away from duration.

Week recap: rate-cut repricing, defensive leadership, gold up, oil heavy.

Kickoff note for the week.

Midweek tape & sector rotation.

End-of-week equity & macro wrap.

Big-picture themes & positioning for next week.

Central bank + earnings collision: watch yields and guidance tone.

Rotation + earnings reactions: momentum turns more selective.

Earnings digestion week: rates as referee, leadership more selective.

Macro framing into early-February positioning.

MLK Day closure: repricing risk when cash reopens; headlines + earnings.

Rotation + earnings reactions: momentum turns more selective.

Earnings digestion week: rates as referee, leadership more selective.

Macro framing into a Fed + peak earnings week: reactions, not predictions.

First real test week: catalysts return and breadth becomes the tell.

Breadth as the lie detector; Beige Book as a sentiment check.

Choppy tape with rotation under the hood as earnings begin.

Macro + earnings overlap: watching the variables that move the tape.

First full week of 2026: liquidity returns, structure matters.

Breadth vs. concentration check as January volume returns.

January reset: narrative meets schedule as catalysts return.

Week-ahead macro framing: earnings + inflation + policy expectations.

Year-end positioning into the first week of 2026.

Year-end momentum snapshot.

First recap of 2026.

Big-picture themes & positioning for the week ahead.

Holiday-shortened setup: liquidity, rates, year-end positioning.

Holiday tape momentum check.

Year-end recap framing.

Big-picture themes & positioning for next week.

Kickoff note for the week.

Midweek tape & sector rotation.

End-of-week equity & macro wrap.

Sunday macro note & positioning for next week.

Kickoff note for the week.

Midweek tape & sector rotation.

End-of-week equity & macro wrap.

Big-picture themes & positioning for next week.

December seasonality, Fed messaging, and soft-landing odds.

Post-holiday follow-through and real-volume test of the rally.

End-of-week equity & macro wrap.

Big-picture themes & positioning for the week ahead.

Holiday-week setup: liquidity, seasonality, Fed uncertainty.

Post-earnings tape and pre-holiday flows.

Post-Thanksgiving recap: flows, sectors, and positioning.

Month-end macro wrap and positioning into December.

Second Monday outlook in the series.

Midweek tape & sector rotation.

End-of-week equity & macro wrap.

Big-picture themes & positioning for the week ahead.

Kickoff note for the week.

Midweek tape & sector rotation.

End-of-week equity & macro wrap.

Big-picture themes & positioning for next week.